Weather

The physical state of the atmosphere or the Earth’s climate system at a given point on the globe at a specific moment in time. Characteristics of the atmospheric state include air temperature, pressure, wind speed, humidity, precipitation, sunshine, and cloud cover, as well as fog, frost, hail, and other weather elements.

Climate

It is the set of weather conditions over several decades (30-40 years) for a specific geographical area. While weather changes quickly, climate changes much more slowly. Climate is characterized by a wide range of meteorological parameters, and depending on their values, climate is often classified as tropical, mid-latitude maritime, arid, etc.

EARTH’S CLIMATE – A DYNAMIC SYSTEM

Earth’s climate is a system in a dynamically stable state — a dynamic equilibrium. As long as the planetary mechanism that sustains the climate keeps working, it fluctuates around normal values; if this mechanism is disrupted, climate stability is also disrupted.

 

AVERAGE TEMPERATURE, ATMOSPHERIC COMPOSITION, AND THE STATE OF WATER SHARPLY DISTINGUISH EARTH FROM OTHER PLANETS

Diagram: “Main components of the atmospheres of some planets in the solar system”

 

THE LE CHATELIER PRINCIPLE

Diagram: “How the Le Chatelier principle reduces CO2 concentration in the atmosphere”

The mechanism that ensures the balance of chemical substances in the atmosphere was discovered for chemical reactions and became known as the Le Chatelier principle. This principle applies to the climate system and maintains the balance of chemical substances in the atmosphere.

Natural ecosystems, and primarily natural forests, play the main role in this process.

The principle works as follows: if a large release of carbon dioxide or another chemical substance occurs somewhere, a healthy ecosystem will begin to intensively absorb it.

Disturbed ecosystems and artificial biosystems (fields, pastures, exploited forests) are not capable of biotic regulation of the environment. On the contrary, they act as environmental destabilizers and use up the accumulated resource of stability for their own existence.

The fluctuation of climate parameters over the past few million years has not exceeded the limits that allow Life to exist on our planet.

Diagram "Planetary temperature 100 million years ago and forecast to 2100"Diagram: “Planetary temperature 100 million years ago and forecast to 2100”

LIFE ON LAND APPEARED ONLY ABOUT 500-600 MILLION YEARS AGO, AND THE CONDITIONS FOR THIS WERE CREATED BY THE BIOSPHERE ITSELF

The emergence of plants, evolution, and the growth in the diversity and number of photosynthesizing organisms — whose life activity produced free oxygen as a byproduct — ultimately led to a radical change in the gas composition of the atmosphere and the emergence of plants and animals onto land.

Diagram "Change in atmosphere types and the emergence of the possibility for higher plants and animals to move onto land as a result of the life activity of photosynthesizing autotrophs"Diagram: “Change in atmosphere types and the emergence of the possibility for higher plants and animals to move onto land as a result of the life activity of photosynthesizing autotrophs”

BiosphereOnly microscopic organisms lived in Biosphere-I; in particular, the left side of the image shows the chemosynthetic bacteria Cl. sporopenitum and Thiothrix. The emergence of photosynthesizing cyanobacteria allowed the entire diversity of multicellular life to develop; the right side of the image shows cyanobacteria of the genus Nostoc, the spirillum Desulfotomaculum, trilobites, horsetail and spruce forests, a mammoth, a wolf, and modern humans — all of these are representatives of Biosphere-II.

ONLY NATURAL ECOSYSTEMS CAN SHAPE THE CLIMATE

All human attempts to make progress in this area fail to provide a technological substitute for the natural mechanism of biotic regulation. Moreover, everything we call cultivated land, arable land, gardens, parks, etc. are all anthropogenic ecosystems that negatively affect the functioning of the biotic environmental control mechanism. They do not create life — they only destroy and use it.

Diagram "Relationship between the state of ecosystems and climate"
Diagram: “Relationship between the state of ecosystems and climate”

LIVING NATURE FORMS AND REGULATES THE CLIMATE

A “mature ecosystem” maintains the current composition of the atmosphere and ensures the stabilization and regulation of climate.

Neither the shape of the Earth, nor its rotation, nor the unevenness of its surface has a direct bearing on the stability of the Earth’s climate. The forces that ensure this stability can only be created by Life itself — undisturbed.

 

CLIMATE CHANGE: A NEW REALITY, SCENARIOS AND FORECASTS

Over the past 10,000 years, the average temperature on the planet has remained fairly stable, varying by less than 1°C, thereby allowing human civilization to reach today’s most optimal figure of 15°C. However, the absolute success of our civilization may have a destructive effect on the climate, which up to now has been exceptionally beneficial for us.

The problem we face today is that, since the start of the industrial revolution 250 years ago, greenhouse gas emissions into the atmosphere have been changing its physical and chemical properties at an unprecedented rate. This has caused the sharpest change in atmospheric composition in the last 650,000 years. Despite our significant efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, global climate change will continue at a rapid pace over the coming decades and beyond, with the likely amplitude of temperature fluctuations exceeding limits acceptable to us.

Diagram "Global temperature trend across Kyrgyzstan over the entire period of instrumental observations, in degrees Celsius"
Diagram: “Global temperature trend across Kyrgyzstan over the entire period of instrumental observations, in degrees Celsius”

 

In Kyrgyzstan, by the end of the century:
the average temperature increase will range from 4°C to 6°C; precipitation will change within a range of -3% to +2%

 

Diagram: “Global temperature trend across Kyrgyzstan over the entire period of instrumental observations, in degrees Celsius”

 

CLIMATE CHANGE FORECAST AND ITS CONSEQUENCES IN KYRGYZSTAN

Objective data on the diagnosis of the environmental situation shows that symptoms of global negative processes can be traced across Kyrgyzstan, primarily related to land degradation and the reduction of biological diversity.

Diagram "Main trends related to climate change in Kyrgyzstan for the period from the present (2009) to 2100"
Diagram: “Main trends related to climate change in Kyrgyzstan for the period from the present (2009) to 2100”

HUMAN ACTIVITY AFFECTS CLIMATE CHANGE

WORLD POWERS ACKNOWLEDGE THAT MODERN CLIMATE CHANGE IS ANTHROPOGENIC IN NATURE

The International UN Climate Change Conference was held November 29 – December 11, 2011, in the Mexican city of Cancun. 15,000 people gathered for the 16th session of the Conference of the Parties to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and the 6th session of the Conference of the Parties to the Kyoto Protocol. The set of decisions known as the Cancun Agreements lays the foundation for the long-term implementation of collective efforts to address climate change. At the negotiations, all countries acknowledged the predominantly anthropogenic and negative nature of climate change over the past 20-30 years and in the 21st century as a whole. All countries are striving to avoid the most negative consequences of climate change.

— The Cancun Agreements

THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT AND ITS CONSEQUENCES

Greenhouse effect

The greenhouse effect is called this because the Earth’s atmosphere acts like the walls and roof of a greenhouse. In a greenhouse, solar energy (mostly in the form of light) passes through the glass walls and roof, reaches the ground, and heats it. When sunlight passes through the atmosphere and, partially scattered by cloud systems, reaches the Earth’s surface, it heats the surface and the lower layers of the atmosphere. The heated Earth then begins to emit energy itself, but now in the form of heat rather than light. Greenhouse gases in the atmosphere absorb the thermal energy reflected by the Earth’s surface and send part of it back to the surface, creating conditions for additional heating. The “blanket” of greenhouse gases in the troposphere, making up less than one percent of the entire atmosphere, performs a vital function in regulating the planet’s climate. This results in the “natural greenhouse effect,” which keeps the planet’s temperature 30°C higher than it would be without this effect — something we know has a significant impact on life as a whole.

Over the past half-century, a strengthening of the greenhouse effect has been observed, with a global character. The amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is steadily increasing. The increase in greenhouse gas emissions is a consequence of accelerated development in the world following the industrial revolution of the 18th-19th centuries.

According to scientists’ calculations (Kondratyev et al., 2003), anthropogenic greenhouse gases are smaller in volume than natural ones, which are formed primarily as a result of the respiration of all living organisms, volcanic activity, and other natural processes. This leads to the conclusion that greenhouse gases do not create the climate, but only modify it.

 

Biospheric emissions respiration, the life activity of living organisms, decomposition of organic matter, etc.
Anthropogenic emissions release from fuel combustion, industry, human respiration, and life activity

Diagram: “Main anthropogenic sources of greenhouse gases”

According to research by our scientists, the sectors most affected by climate change in Kyrgyzstan are identified as:

  • water resources (glacier melting, shrinking lakes, increased surface runoff volume);
  • health (increased morbidity and mortality from climate-related diseases);
  • ecosystems (ecosystem destruction, shifting of their boundaries);
  • agriculture (decreased yields of various crops and pastures);
  • climate-related emergencies (increased landslides, glacial lake outbursts, and avalanches).

CONSEQUENCES OF CLIMATE CHANGE

MECHANISMS FOR MITIGATING THE CONSEQUENCES OF CLIMATE CHANGE

 

WHAT EVERYONE CAN DO.
MAKE YOUR CONTRIBUTION!

Recommendations for the public have been developed to prevent the negative consequences of climate change. Following these simple actions can significantly reduce the likelihood of negative impacts from the projected risks associated with climate change.

Poster "A Stable Climate - a Healthy Nation"
Poster “A Stable Climate – a Healthy Nation”