Thanks to the mountain ranges that shield the reserve's territory from the winter intrusion of cold air masses from the northwest and east, a climate with relatively mild, snowy winters and warm, humid summers has formed here. B. P. Alisov and I. S. Lupinovich (1949)
Global warming is currently the most pressing environmental problem. "Since the 1970s, scientists in the US and Russia have acknowledged the inevitability of global warming due to ongoing changes in the chemical composition of the atmosphere" (The Coming Climate Change, 1991).
The following ecosystem changes are projected for Kyrgyzstan under the influence of climate change (baseline trends), Southwest Kyrgyzstan. The upper boundary of the desert belt will rise by 200 m, and the steppe belt by 250 m.